u/ericswc wrote (the comment Michael replied to):
The most generous studies put productivity increases around 20%. The average is around 4%. The assumption also assumes that if creating software becomes cheaper it won’t increase demand for software, which flies in the face of the last 70 years. Your backlog is never “done”. Wh
u/michaelnovati replied · ★ FEATURED
Studies don't mean anything when newer models that change the game come out every two months.
I'm pretty in the middle on this, I agree on the expansion, I disagree on the skills that will be needed.
I think that AI has changed the nature of programming so much that it will not be the same going forward, and the "expansion" will be a titanic shift of ALL WALKS OF LIFE towards more technical skills to 'develop', 'configure', 'manage' these AI tools, where the engineering work is for the building building the underlying frameworks.
I don't think this is a bad thing for learning to program, programming skills (or at least the thinking skills behind the code) might become table stakes for a lot of jobs that currently aren't considering 'engineering' roles.
Engineering might eat the world, not software.