u/ericswc wrote (the comment Michael replied to):
Same thing will happen that happened post dot com crash. CS enrollment craters (down 50% then, 60% now). Senior devs retire. Natural attrition continues unaffected. Competition for mid level (2+ yrs) becomes fierce as labor markets tighten. Suddenly, there’s a critical shorta
u/michaelnovati replied · ★ FEATURED
I can give me personal opinion on this comment only that is unrelated and not an statement regarding Codesmith and or its leadership.
I hate others say "this time is different" but I feel like that's the case...
If an engineer produces 10X the raw output (and potentially more) for the same salary, then even in a world where there is demand for the skill of programming, we might just not need as many.
Like if the productivity output is so much higher, I think it can be enough to both see an expansion of the need for code-writers but not a need for many more engineers.
Maybe 50% of the engineers we have now can write all the code humanity needs, and the others need to do a new job.